| Sunday, August 31st, 2008 |
| 5:43 pm |
McCain's VP Pick
If I were McCain, Palin would have been my pick also. Energize the base, and possibly tear a small but significant amount of blue collar females from Obama in the key battleground states. One thing I forgot though is that many females are an extremely jealous sort. Having the husbands wolf whistle at Palin while in the vicinity of their wives may sway their wives to vote to the contrary. Post hoc analysis from the earliest polls to the pick. |
| Wednesday, October 3rd, 2007 |
| 1:03 pm |
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| Saturday, April 7th, 2007 |
| 7:56 pm |
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| Saturday, November 11th, 2006 |
| 12:34 pm |
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| Tuesday, October 17th, 2006 |
| 4:27 pm |
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| Friday, August 25th, 2006 |
| 9:20 am |
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| Wednesday, August 23rd, 2006 |
| 5:44 pm |
Recursive Bias
There was quite a few blog posts about a recent article on confirmation bias. What I find amusing is that some of the blogs then uses the article as an explanation of why so and so who is wrong on an issue but thinks they are right. Pretty funny. |
| Tuesday, August 8th, 2006 |
| 11:23 am |
Fed Slowplaying?
I have a feeling that the Fed has acted weak the past month to raise rates today. The purpose is to build wall street cred for BB because folks were disrespecting his inflation fighting will. Once his rep is established this month, it will allow him to pause in Sept. I have 60% confidence for this scenario being played out. |
| Thursday, July 27th, 2006 |
| 5:23 pm |
myopic classification
Was listening to a NPR interview with craiglist founder Craig_Newmark and the interviewer told Mr. Newmark that a journalist at a business rag called him or his actions extremely socialist and anarchist. So creating greater efficiency at an extremely low cost and not being obsessive about maximizing short term profits now is deemed the antithesis of capitalism. Fortunately that is most likely not the vox populi of the majority of the people. |
| Thursday, July 20th, 2006 |
| 6:08 pm |
Retch
One of the worst things in life is using a public toilet, and realizing that the toilet seat is still warm. You are absorbing the previous person's essence, and that is gross. |
| Tuesday, July 11th, 2006 |
| 3:21 pm |
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| Thursday, June 22nd, 2006 |
| 3:39 pm |
Media Magic Box
From the NAS press release: The Research Council committee found the Mann team's conclusion that warming in the last few decades of the 20th century was unprecedented over the last thousand years to be plausible, but it had less confidence that the warming was unprecedented prior to 1600;CNN headline: Study: Earth 'likely' hottest in 2,000 yearsIntroduction in Boston Globe article: A signature piece of evidence for global warming -- a chart showing that a sharp rise in temperatures made the late 20th century the warmest period in at least 1,000 years -- is most likely correct, a national panel of scientific experts concluded today. |
| Saturday, June 3rd, 2006 |
| 9:05 pm |
Walking on a mirror
It seems like the Democrats found their political version of terrorism in global warming. |
| Friday, May 12th, 2006 |
| 12:32 pm |
"A democracy cannot exist as a permanent form of government. It can only exist until the voters discover that they can vote themselves money from the public treasure. From that moment on the majority always votes for the candidates promising the most money from the public treasury, with the result that a democracy always collapses over loose fiscal policy followed by a dictatorship. The average age of the world's great civilizations has been two hundred years. These nations have progressed through the following sequence: from bondage to spiritual faith, from spiritual faith to great courage, from courage to liberty, from liberty to abundance, from abundance to selfishness, from selfishness to complacency from complacency to apathy, from apathy to dependency, from dependency back to bondage." - Alexander Tyler |
| Monday, May 8th, 2006 |
| 10:03 am |
Capital Flows
Has there been a strong historic negative correlation between a falling currency and bond yields issue in that country? For any foreign saver, the yield has to supercede the currency depreciation rate to preserve value. So even if the Fed decides to flood the market with easy credit, putting even more downward pressure on the dollar, the yields must be pressured upward to attract foreign capital. Is this a reasonable perspective? |
| Tuesday, April 25th, 2006 |
| 5:28 pm |
Domination
If you take their current cool/bitch rating from the photo and map them out to poker hands, Lebron would have the steel wheel and payton would have the equivalent of smeared shit on his cards forcing the floor to call the hand dead.  |
| Wednesday, April 19th, 2006 |
| 5:59 pm |
Healthcare Solution
Limit Fed subsidised drugs to generics and lower the drug patents(maybe all patents) to 5 years, no renewal. |
| Tuesday, April 18th, 2006 |
| 4:06 pm |
Macro Poo
I am utterly confused on current macro indicators of the economy. They seem to be wholly inconsistent with each other. Conspiracy considerations aside, why is gold going up in a mild inflation environment? How is inflation mild when the dollar is weakening, commodities surging, and corporate profits beating estimates at the same time? Makes no damn sense. Is global wage arbitrage overcoming all the inflationary pressures? Seems hard to believe. Something seems logically amiss. |
| Sunday, April 9th, 2006 |
| 10:56 am |
Power to the Cynic
The single biggest problem with politics is the high correlation between winning and money spent. Two of the propose solutions to this pernicious problem are hard limits on campaign donations and/or public financing. Both rub against my libertarian sensibilities even though I am more sympathetic to the former. A better solution would be to tap the unused apathetic power of the non-voting public(America's biggest resource!). After setting arbitrary monetary limits for each race, we would have monitors that track political expenditures for each candidate. If one candidate exceeds the threshold, all participants in this scheme would vote for his biggest opponent. If both of the biggest candidates exceed the threshold, all the votes would go to the one who spends the least of the two. Targets are only the two most popular candidates to maximize the leverage. The biggest obstacle is to move apathetic people to vote. Hopefully a large segment of these people have a cynical, angry side. |
| Friday, April 7th, 2006 |
| 2:23 pm |
Round and round
I have a prediction that within 15 years, that there will be something about solar panels causing global warming. Much of the sunlight that hits the Earth is reflected back into space, however with the advent of the coming solar power, that same sunlight will be captured and slides down this chain: Sunlight->Storable Energy->Useable Energy->Kinetic Energy->Heat. More heat being release on Earth and within Earth's atmosphere is a forcing for higher global temperatures. |
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